By MARK HANOK
Extrememly dry weather pattern through next week The long Columbus Day weekend will feature absolutely magnificent October weather in Otsego County, with brilliant sunshine each day and above normal temperatures.
Exactly as we predicted in last week’s weather column, this October will turn out to be warmer and drier than normal. Although temperatures have actually averaged three to four degrees below normal during the first week, temperatures will be around ten degrees above normal Friday through Tuesday, and there’s simply no very cool weather in sight through at least the third week of October. Last week’s unseasonably warm weather in Montana, especially while it was much warmer in Billings than in Atlanta, was a key indicator for many days of beautiful weather in the Cooperstown area. The jet stream will stay well to the north in central Canada, with the storm track well to the west, maintaining the exceptionally dry weather across our region.
One high pressure system after another will slide southward to the Great Lakes and New England, then over the mid-Atlantic states, continuing the dry conditions.
On Friday, bright sunshine will prevail all day, as a westerly flow takes over, with dry, unseasonably warm air; highs around 70 degrees. On Saturday, as high pressure slides to the south right over New York and Pennsylvania, skies will be sunny all day with dry air and highs around 70 degrees again. A southwesterly flow around the high will continue bright sunshine and warm air on Sunday; highs in the mid-70’s or about 15 degrees above normal.
A weak cold front will bring little more than a few passing clouds as it crosses our area early Monday morning. Columbus Day will feature partly to mostly sunny skies and highs from 65 to 70 degrees. Look for more of the same on Tuesday, with partly sunny skies and highs in the mid- 60’s.
Mark Hanok is an Otegobased meteorologist. You can visit him on the World Wide Web at http://members. aol.com/weathergazette.
By MARK HANOK
- Weather Watch
- Weather watch The Susquehanna River level will be unusually low for the General Clinton Canoe Regatta during Memorial Day weekend.
- Weather Watch It’s really uncanny how the very dry weather pattern has continued in this area despite the succession of major storms that have moved to the west and south.
- Weather Watch Now that north has become a synonym for sunshine and south has become a synonym for rain, there’s no way that this extremely dry weather pattern can change at least for the next four weeks.
- Weather Watch March was the third straight month with below normal precipitation, and it looks like April will also turn out to be drier than normal.
- Weather Watch Temperatures were near normal in March, with precipitation around an inch below normal.
- Weather Watch On Friday a major storm will move to the Ohio Valley, while high pressure builds southward from eastern Canada. Skies will be partly sunny with highs from 55 to 60 degrees.
- Weather Watch When it’s warmer to the north and cooler to the south, it’s so easy to get into an extremely dry weather pattern in Otsego County. The weather forecast in last week’s weather column was more optimistic than other local weather forecasts, but the weather was actually much better than even we predicted.
- Weather Watch The jet stream will shift southward this week and a series of low pressure systems will move well to our south.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we predicted at the beginning of the month, it was one of the driest Februaries on record in Otsego County and throughout most of central and eastern New York. Thanks to the extreme upside-down temperature pattern with much warmer weather in Montana than in Georgia, and strong winds on Monday and Tuesday, an extremely dry weather pattern will be the theme for at least the next two to three weeks.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we’ve been predicting for the past month, this is turning out to be an exceptionally dry February - one of the driest on record in central and eastern New York.
- More Weather Watch Headlines