By MARK HANOK
The second week and beginning of the third week of October averaged about 10 degrees warmer than normal, then we got a major change to a much cooler weather pattern, but temperatures have only averaged about five degrees cooler than normal during the past week.
What hasn’t changed is the very dry weather pattern; about three-quarters of an inch of rain so far this month across most of our area, and that’s about a quarter of the normal precipitation. With a northwesterly flow of very cool air, and the storm track just to our south, any rain we get this weekend will be limited to Saturday night and Sunday morning, and will be generally light rain.
On Friday a large high over New England, will continue the beautiful weather, with brilliant sunshine and mild, dry air; highs from 55 to 60 degrees. A storm system will move from the Ohio Valley to the mid-Atlantic states on Saturday, and the rain will stay to the south. Skies will be mostly sunny in the morning, then increasing cloudiness in the afternoon, with highs again from 55 to 60 degrees.
After light rain or showers Saturday night and Sunday morning, skies will be mostly cloudy on Sunday afternoon, with highs in the low 50’s.
As the storm moves east of the New England coast on Monday, a cool northwest flow will take over, with variable cloudiness and some sunshine and a few lake-effect rain showers; highs only 45 to 50 degrees.
We could get a few snow showers Monday night, then partly sunny skies and highs from 50 to 55 degrees on Tuesday.
Mark Hanok is an Otego based meteorologist. You can visit him on the World Wide Web at http://members. aol.com/weathergazette.
By MARK HANOK
- Weather Watch
- Weather watch The Susquehanna River level will be unusually low for the General Clinton Canoe Regatta during Memorial Day weekend.
- Weather Watch It’s really uncanny how the very dry weather pattern has continued in this area despite the succession of major storms that have moved to the west and south.
- Weather Watch Now that north has become a synonym for sunshine and south has become a synonym for rain, there’s no way that this extremely dry weather pattern can change at least for the next four weeks.
- Weather Watch March was the third straight month with below normal precipitation, and it looks like April will also turn out to be drier than normal.
- Weather Watch Temperatures were near normal in March, with precipitation around an inch below normal.
- Weather Watch On Friday a major storm will move to the Ohio Valley, while high pressure builds southward from eastern Canada. Skies will be partly sunny with highs from 55 to 60 degrees.
- Weather Watch When it’s warmer to the north and cooler to the south, it’s so easy to get into an extremely dry weather pattern in Otsego County. The weather forecast in last week’s weather column was more optimistic than other local weather forecasts, but the weather was actually much better than even we predicted.
- Weather Watch The jet stream will shift southward this week and a series of low pressure systems will move well to our south.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we predicted at the beginning of the month, it was one of the driest Februaries on record in Otsego County and throughout most of central and eastern New York. Thanks to the extreme upside-down temperature pattern with much warmer weather in Montana than in Georgia, and strong winds on Monday and Tuesday, an extremely dry weather pattern will be the theme for at least the next two to three weeks.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we’ve been predicting for the past month, this is turning out to be an exceptionally dry February - one of the driest on record in central and eastern New York.
- More Weather Watch Headlines