By MARK HANOK
The second week and beginning of the third week of October averaged about 10 degrees warmer than normal, then we got a major change to a much cooler weather pattern, but temperatures have only averaged about five degrees cooler than normal during the past week.
What hasn’t changed is the very dry weather pattern; about three-quarters of an inch of rain so far this month across most of our area, and that’s about a quarter of the normal precipitation. With a northwesterly flow of very cool air, and the storm track just to our south, any rain we get this weekend will be limited to Saturday night and Sunday morning, and will be generally light rain.
On Friday a large high over New England, will continue the beautiful weather, with brilliant sunshine and mild, dry air; highs from 55 to 60 degrees. A storm system will move from the Ohio Valley to the mid-Atlantic states on Saturday, and the rain will stay to the south. Skies will be mostly sunny in the morning, then increasing cloudiness in the afternoon, with highs again from 55 to 60 degrees.
After light rain or showers Saturday night and Sunday morning, skies will be mostly cloudy on Sunday afternoon, with highs in the low 50’s.
As the storm moves east of the New England coast on Monday, a cool northwest flow will take over, with variable cloudiness and some sunshine and a few lake-effect rain showers; highs only 45 to 50 degrees.
We could get a few snow showers Monday night, then partly sunny skies and highs from 50 to 55 degrees on Tuesday.
Mark Hanok is an Otego based meteorologist. You can visit him on the World Wide Web at http://members. aol.com/weathergazette.