By MARK HANOK
Since cloudy skies have prevailed much of the time during the past week, it doesn’t seem like a very dry November. But during the first 12 days of the month, precipitation has amounted to less than a quarter of an inch at most locations in Otsego County, and that’s about 20% of the normal precipitation.
Since temperatures have been colder than normal the past few days, it doesn’t seem like a warm November. However, temperatures have averaged four degrees above normal so far this month, and we’ll go right back to very mild weather to start this weekend, as the jet stream stays well to the north, and a series of storm systems move to our west and bring a southwesterly flow.
This pattern will change on Sunday as a cold front moves through our area and upper-level winds shift to the northwest and another large high pressure area dips southward from central Canada.
On Friday as low pressure lifts northward to western New York, rain in the morning will give way to variable cloudiness and a few breaks of sunshine in the afternoon, with a southerly wind and highs around 60 degrees.
Another low pressure system will develop along the mid-Atlantic coast and track to the east of New England on Saturday, keeping the heavy rain well to the east across southern and eastern New England.
We’ll get occasional showers and highs well above normal, in the mid and upper 50’s. As the storm moves well to the northeast on Sunday a northwesterly flow will take over.
By MARK HANOK
- Weather Watch
- Weather watch The Susquehanna River level will be unusually low for the General Clinton Canoe Regatta during Memorial Day weekend.
- Weather Watch It’s really uncanny how the very dry weather pattern has continued in this area despite the succession of major storms that have moved to the west and south.
- Weather Watch Now that north has become a synonym for sunshine and south has become a synonym for rain, there’s no way that this extremely dry weather pattern can change at least for the next four weeks.
- Weather Watch March was the third straight month with below normal precipitation, and it looks like April will also turn out to be drier than normal.
- Weather Watch Temperatures were near normal in March, with precipitation around an inch below normal.
- Weather Watch On Friday a major storm will move to the Ohio Valley, while high pressure builds southward from eastern Canada. Skies will be partly sunny with highs from 55 to 60 degrees.
- Weather Watch When it’s warmer to the north and cooler to the south, it’s so easy to get into an extremely dry weather pattern in Otsego County. The weather forecast in last week’s weather column was more optimistic than other local weather forecasts, but the weather was actually much better than even we predicted.
- Weather Watch The jet stream will shift southward this week and a series of low pressure systems will move well to our south.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we predicted at the beginning of the month, it was one of the driest Februaries on record in Otsego County and throughout most of central and eastern New York. Thanks to the extreme upside-down temperature pattern with much warmer weather in Montana than in Georgia, and strong winds on Monday and Tuesday, an extremely dry weather pattern will be the theme for at least the next two to three weeks.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we’ve been predicting for the past month, this is turning out to be an exceptionally dry February - one of the driest on record in central and eastern New York.
- More Weather Watch Headlines