By MARK HANOK
Even with the major storm that moved right across our region on Saturday, we got less than two-thirds of an inch of rain at most locations in Otsego County, and for the first three weeks of November, total precipitation for the month has been only around one inch.
That’s only about 40 percent of the normal precipitation.
Once again, the past week showed the very reliable correlation between a ``reverse temperature anomaly’’ and dry weather in Otsego County.
After a very mild start to November, since Sunday temperatures averaged well below normal, with a strong northwest flow and the jet stream diving southeastward from central Canada to northern Florida.
With this kind of pattern, Montana is west of the jet stream and misses all the cold air, the southeastern states stays unusually cold for so early in the season.
In our area, the cold, dry weather pattern will continue right through at least early next week.
On Friday the Alberta clipper that raced southeastward, will redevelop off the New England coast, and reinforce the very cold air, with variable cloudiness, a northwesterly wind, a few snow showers, and highs only around 30 degrees.
On Saturday, high pressure will build eastward from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley and drier air will take over with partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-30’s. A westerly flow of cold, dry air will prevail on Sunday, with partly sunny skies and highs from 35 to 40 degrees.
A storm system will move north of the Great Lakes on Monday and a southwesterly flow ahead of the low, will bring milder air; look for partly sunny skies and highs in the low 40’s.
We may get a few snow showers as a weak cold front moves through the area on Monday night, then partly sunny skies and highs from 35 to 40 degrees on Tuesday.
Mark Hanok is an Otego-based meteorologist. You can visit him on the World Wide Web at http://members.aol.com/ weathergazette.
By MARK HANOK
- Weather Watch
- Weather watch The Susquehanna River level will be unusually low for the General Clinton Canoe Regatta during Memorial Day weekend.
- Weather Watch It’s really uncanny how the very dry weather pattern has continued in this area despite the succession of major storms that have moved to the west and south.
- Weather Watch Now that north has become a synonym for sunshine and south has become a synonym for rain, there’s no way that this extremely dry weather pattern can change at least for the next four weeks.
- Weather Watch March was the third straight month with below normal precipitation, and it looks like April will also turn out to be drier than normal.
- Weather Watch Temperatures were near normal in March, with precipitation around an inch below normal.
- Weather Watch On Friday a major storm will move to the Ohio Valley, while high pressure builds southward from eastern Canada. Skies will be partly sunny with highs from 55 to 60 degrees.
- Weather Watch When it’s warmer to the north and cooler to the south, it’s so easy to get into an extremely dry weather pattern in Otsego County. The weather forecast in last week’s weather column was more optimistic than other local weather forecasts, but the weather was actually much better than even we predicted.
- Weather Watch The jet stream will shift southward this week and a series of low pressure systems will move well to our south.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we predicted at the beginning of the month, it was one of the driest Februaries on record in Otsego County and throughout most of central and eastern New York. Thanks to the extreme upside-down temperature pattern with much warmer weather in Montana than in Georgia, and strong winds on Monday and Tuesday, an extremely dry weather pattern will be the theme for at least the next two to three weeks.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we’ve been predicting for the past month, this is turning out to be an exceptionally dry February - one of the driest on record in central and eastern New York.
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