By MARK HANOK
In last week’s weather column we predicted a continuation of the very dry weather pattern.
That proved to be an understatement, as so far in February most places in Otsego County have received no more than .05’’ of precipitation.
At our weather station in Otego, we got only .03’’ since the beginning of the month - almost unheard of dryness for February. The upside-down temperature pattern during the first week of February, was a key indicator that extremely dry conditions would continue.
After the very cold weather pattern during January, with the jet stream diving southeastward from northern Canada, now upper-level winds are from a southwesterly direction, bringing above normal temperatures. Although snowfall was above normal during January, precipitation was actually below normal. February will turn out much drier than January, and temperatures will average above normal.
On Friday, an intense storm will lift northward through eastern Canada and a colder, drier northwesterly flow will take over.
With partly to mostly sunny skies and a 20-30 MPH northwest wind, highs will be in the low 30’s, or just about normal for mid-February. On Saturday skies will be mostly sunny with a dry northwest flow at the surface and aloft; highs from 30 to 35 degrees. A storm system moving well to our south could bring light snow to the mid-Atlantic states.
Sunday will feature mostly sunny skies and slightly above normal temperatures and very dry air; highs 33 to 38 degrees. The extraordinarily dry weather pattern will continue on Monday and Tuesday with partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-30’s.
Mark Hanok is an Otegobased meteorologist.
By MARK HANOK
- Weather Watch
- Weather watch The Susquehanna River level will be unusually low for the General Clinton Canoe Regatta during Memorial Day weekend.
- Weather Watch It’s really uncanny how the very dry weather pattern has continued in this area despite the succession of major storms that have moved to the west and south.
- Weather Watch Now that north has become a synonym for sunshine and south has become a synonym for rain, there’s no way that this extremely dry weather pattern can change at least for the next four weeks.
- Weather Watch March was the third straight month with below normal precipitation, and it looks like April will also turn out to be drier than normal.
- Weather Watch Temperatures were near normal in March, with precipitation around an inch below normal.
- Weather Watch On Friday a major storm will move to the Ohio Valley, while high pressure builds southward from eastern Canada. Skies will be partly sunny with highs from 55 to 60 degrees.
- Weather Watch When it’s warmer to the north and cooler to the south, it’s so easy to get into an extremely dry weather pattern in Otsego County. The weather forecast in last week’s weather column was more optimistic than other local weather forecasts, but the weather was actually much better than even we predicted.
- Weather Watch The jet stream will shift southward this week and a series of low pressure systems will move well to our south.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we predicted at the beginning of the month, it was one of the driest Februaries on record in Otsego County and throughout most of central and eastern New York. Thanks to the extreme upside-down temperature pattern with much warmer weather in Montana than in Georgia, and strong winds on Monday and Tuesday, an extremely dry weather pattern will be the theme for at least the next two to three weeks.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we’ve been predicting for the past month, this is turning out to be an exceptionally dry February - one of the driest on record in central and eastern New York.
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