By MARK HANOK
Exactly as we predicted at the beginning of the month, it was one of the driest Februaries on record in Otsego County and throughout most of central and eastern New York. Thanks to the extreme upside-down temperature pattern with much warmer weather in Montana than in Georgia, and strong winds on Monday and Tuesday, an extremely dry weather pattern will be the theme for at least the next two to three weeks.
Although the arctic cold at the start of the month will be replaced by mild, spring like weather this weekend, we’ll get very little precipitation during the upcoming week - only some light mixed precipitation Thursday night and early Friday morning as a warm front moves through our region. The jet stream has been diving southeastward from central Canada, bring unseasonably cold air during the first four days of March.
However, we’ll get a major change in the upper-level wind pattern, with a zonal, west to east flow across the northern half of the nation.
A warm front will bring milder air as it crosses our area on Friday morning, with light snow, sleet, and rain - but we’ll be lucky to get more than a tenth of an inch of precipitation.
Partial sunshine will take over on Friday afternoon with highs in the mid- 40’s. An upper-level trough over the western Great Lakes will continue a mild southwesterly flow on Saturday, with partly sunny skies and highs in the low 50’s. As the low slides eastward on Sunday, northwesterly winds will bring cooler air, but we’ll only get back to normal for early March.
Along with variable cloudiness and intervals of sunshine with the chance of rain or snow showers, highs will be around 40 degrees. Skies will be partly sunny with highs from 40 to 45 degrees on Monday, then mostly sunny and 45 to 50 degrees on Tuesday. No return to arctic cold and no snowstorms anywhere in sight.
Mark Hanok is an Otegobased meteorologist.
By MARK HANOK
- Weather Watch
- Weather watch The Susquehanna River level will be unusually low for the General Clinton Canoe Regatta during Memorial Day weekend.
- Weather Watch It’s really uncanny how the very dry weather pattern has continued in this area despite the succession of major storms that have moved to the west and south.
- Weather Watch Now that north has become a synonym for sunshine and south has become a synonym for rain, there’s no way that this extremely dry weather pattern can change at least for the next four weeks.
- Weather Watch March was the third straight month with below normal precipitation, and it looks like April will also turn out to be drier than normal.
- Weather Watch Temperatures were near normal in March, with precipitation around an inch below normal.
- Weather Watch On Friday a major storm will move to the Ohio Valley, while high pressure builds southward from eastern Canada. Skies will be partly sunny with highs from 55 to 60 degrees.
- Weather Watch When it’s warmer to the north and cooler to the south, it’s so easy to get into an extremely dry weather pattern in Otsego County. The weather forecast in last week’s weather column was more optimistic than other local weather forecasts, but the weather was actually much better than even we predicted.
- Weather Watch The jet stream will shift southward this week and a series of low pressure systems will move well to our south.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we predicted at the beginning of the month, it was one of the driest Februaries on record in Otsego County and throughout most of central and eastern New York. Thanks to the extreme upside-down temperature pattern with much warmer weather in Montana than in Georgia, and strong winds on Monday and Tuesday, an extremely dry weather pattern will be the theme for at least the next two to three weeks.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we’ve been predicting for the past month, this is turning out to be an exceptionally dry February - one of the driest on record in central and eastern New York.
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